Oil prices jump as Trump's Iran claims raise doubts / Photo: Tauseef MUSTAFA - AFP
Oil prices jump as Trump's Iran claims raise doubts
Oil prices jumped on Tuesday as traders turned cautious over the prospect of a negotiated agreement between the United States and Iran to end the Middle East war.
Meanwhile European and US stocks held largely steady, having rallied Monday after US President Donald Trump delayed strikes on Iranian energy sites and hailed "very good" talks with Iran.
Asian equities caught up with the strong gains Tuesday but the rally fizzled in the European and US sessions.
Oil prices, which had tumbled on Monday, rebounded strongly with Brent popping back above $100 a barrel.
"The Iran war is not over, and the Strait of Hormuz remains closed," said Kathleen Brooks, research director at XTB.
"It will take more conciliatory remarks from Donald Trump to extend Monday’s recovery rally and give hope that the war is close to wrapping up."
Axel Rudolph at trading platform IG said European "markets began the day on a negative footing but ended it in the green, torn between fears that the conflict in the Middle East may not wind down anytime soon and the hope that it may."
Trump on Monday stepped back from his threat to attack energy sites, citing "very good" talks to end the war.
But, Tehran's parliamentary speaker said "no negotiations" were underway, insisting Trump was seeking "to manipulate the financial and oil markets".
And hours after Trump's apparent U-turn, Iranian media reported that Israeli-US strikes targeted two gas facilities and a pipeline.
"Markets (are) increasingly questioning the validity of Trump's claim of positive negotiations with Iran," noted Joshua Mahony, chief market analyst at Scope Markets.
The economic impact of the war is also becoming clearer.
Business activity in the eurozone slowed significantly in March according to a closely watched survey published Tuesday, as the war sent energy prices surging and disrupted global supply chains.
The HCOB Flash Eurozone purchasing managers' index registered a significantly lower figure of 50.5 for March, down from 51.9 in February. A reading above 50 indicates growth.
"The flash Eurozone PMI is ringing stagflation alarm bells as the war in the Middle East drives prices sharply higher while stifling growth," said Chris Williamson, chief business economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, which published the findings.
The initial reading for the composite US PMI dipped to an 11-month low of 51.4 points in March from 51.9 points in February.
"The risk is that the PMI data, which is a lead indicator, is the start of a wave of weaker economic data to come down the line," said XTB's Brooks.
Iran's choking of the Strait is also impacting airlines, with Lufthansa, Cathay Pacific, and Air France extending flight suspensions to destinations across the Middle East.
Lufthansa shares fell nearly two percent and Air France-KLM shares ended the day down three percent.
- Key figures at around 1630 GMT -
Brent North Sea Crude: UP 4.2 percent at $104.09 per barrel
West Texas Intermediate: UP 5.0 percent at $92.49 per barrel
New York - Dow: UP 0.3 percent at 46,348.18 points
New York - S&P 500: UP less than 0.1 percent at 6,585.39
New York - Nasdaq Composite: DOWN 0.4 percent at 21,865.74
London - FTSE 100: UP 0.7 percent at 9,965.16 (close)
Paris - CAC 40: UP 0.2 percent at 7,743.92 (close)
Frankfurt - DAX: DOWN less than 0.1 percent at 22,636.91 (close)
Tokyo - Nikkei 225: UP 1.4 percent at 52,252.28 (close)
Hong Kong - Hang Seng Index: UP 2.8 percent at 25,063.71 (close)
Shanghai - Composite: UP 1.8 percent at 3,881.28 (close)
Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.1590 from $1.1616 on Monday
Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.3392 from $1.3437
Dollar/yen: UP at 158.83 yen from 158.34 yen
Euro/pound: UP at 86.57 pence from 86.45 pence
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A.Lehmann--FFMTZ
